Fantasy Football ADPs To Reach On In 2026: Jayden Reed Outprojects His Current ADP

Fantasy Football ADPs To Reach On In 2026: Jayden Reed Outprojects His Current ADP

Matt LaMarca uncovers a trio of players who are projected to vastly outperform their current fantasy football ADPs, making them viable reaches in your 2026 drafts.

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They say there’s no such thing as “sleepers” anymore in fantasy football. That’s true to a certain extent. The days of finding an unknown player in the middle rounds are over, with the fantasy player base becoming more educated overall.

That said, that doesn’t mean there isn’t value to be had. There are still plenty of undervalued options that are flying under the radar in early drafts.

Let’s dive into three players who are worth reaching for at their current price tags.

GB_packers-logo.svgJayden Reed | WR | GB

  • Consensus Flex Ranking: 80
  • Current ADP: 118.9

The Packers have employed a “by committee” approach at wide receiver in recent years, but that figures to change in 2026. The team lost both Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks this offseason, which leaves two fewer mouths to feed. Those two players combined for 131 targets last season, and they didn’t bring in anyone to help replace them. They didn’t draft a single pass catcher, while their only free agent signing at receiver was Skyy Moore. That means that the guys who were already on the depth chart are going to have to do the heavy lifting.

Reed is coming off a bit of a lost season in 2025-26. He was limited to just seven games played, and he dealt with multiple injuries. He was limited throughout the preseason with a Jones fracture in his left foot, and he landed on IR after suffering a broken collarbone in Week 2. As a result, he was never really able to get going.

However, Reed led all Packers’ receivers in fantasy points per game in 2025, and he was the WR23 in half-PPR scoring two years ago. He’s done that despite never really having a full-time role. He posted a 73% route participation two years ago and a 64% mark in 2023-24. If Reed can combine his previous efficiency with more volume this season, he has the potential to be one of the best values in the draft.

The same logic applies to both Christian Watson and Tucker Kraft. They’re a bit more expensive, but they’re also poised for bigger workloads in 2026-27. Kraft was arguably the best tight end in fantasy before getting hurt last season, while Watson was incredible down the stretch. Overall, the Packers’ pass catchers stand out as one of the most undervalued groups of assets in fantasy at the moment.

MIN_vikings-logo.svgJordan Mason | MIN | RB

  • Consensus Flex Ranking: 93
  • Current ADP: 128.7

Mason is not the type of sexy, do-it-all back that is ideal for fantasy purposes. He had just 16 targets in 16 games last season, and that represented a new career-high. In other words, don’t expect him to all of a sudden become De’Von Achane.

What Mason does well is run the damn ball. He’s averaged an elite 5.1 yards per carry for his career, and he was at 4.8 last year in his first season with the Vikings. That still doesn’t tell the full story. Over the second half of the season, Mason was one of the most productive runners in football. He was third in explosive run rate, 10th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and ninth in success rate among RBs with at least 50 carries from Week 10 on.

It’s very possible that Mason is the best running back in Minnesota at the moment. Aaron Jones is still around, but he’ll turn 32 years old next season and has already shown some clear signs of decline. He’ll likely still handle most of the pass-catching responsibilities, but Mason could certainly overtake him on the early downs.

IND_colts-logo.svgJosh Downs | WR | IND

  • Consensus Flex Ranking: 94
  • Current ADP: 120.1

Downs is another receiver who should benefit from his team’s offseason moves. Specifically, the Colts shipped Michael Pittman off to Pittsburgh, which opens up 111 targets from last season. Pittman has had at least 111 targets in five straight years, and he’s led the receiving corps in opportunities in all five seasons.

The newly paid Alec Pierce profiles as the team’s No. 1 option, but that should still leave plenty of opportunities for Downs. Pierce has been used primarily as a field stretcher in the past, racking up an impressive 20.0 aDOT last season. However, his target share was merely 18%. Even if that improves in 2026-27, he’s probably not going to be someone who flirts with 30%.

It leaves Downs and TE Tyler Warren to handle the short and intermediate areas. We ultimately have Downs projected for 98 targets, compared to 105 for Warren and 100 for Pierce. Downs has historically been productive when given opportunities, and he stands out as a clear value after pick 100.


Players Mentioned in this Article

  1. Jayden Reed
    JaydenReed
    WRGBGB
    PPG
    7.5
    Proj
    161.3
  2. Jordan Mason
    JordanMason
    RBMINMIN
    PPG
    7.4
    Proj
    109.5
  3. Josh Downs
    JoshDowns
    WRINDIND
    PPG
    6.7
    Proj
    130.7
  4. Romeo Doubs
    RomeoDoubs
    WRNENE
    PPG
    9.2
    Proj
    139.3

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